Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QNT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 47.405213 53.333320 59.513365 66.419603 73.904523 81.754424 90.592133
2024-10-27 36.237283 44.565254 53.803835 64.735264 77.237301 91.011491 107.254583
2024-11-03 32.145752 41.972946 53.330867 67.268978 83.748650 102.450919 125.111855
2024-11-10 28.555376 39.332484 52.245640 68.595989 88.474892 111.591274 140.221727
2024-11-17 25.104678 36.375700 50.343460 68.542267 91.229076 118.183244 152.208776
2024-11-24 23.399644 35.390721 50.675554 71.063217 96.996839 128.339126 168.500229
2024-12-01 20.911435 33.096109 49.092449 70.949954 99.327094 134.212657 179.579838
2024-12-08 18.480174 30.625562 47.048169 70.026787 100.455792 138.479390 188.624377
2024-12-15 16.693928 28.881059 45.815657 70.026405 102.659974 144.031304 199.264243
2024-12-22 15.124788 27.297004 44.665395 70.013264 104.755892 149.399101 209.680816
2024-12-29 14.535582 27.124062 45.462358 72.653859 110.401251 159.401725 226.132272
2025-01-05 13.491749 26.147683 45.018281 73.495855 113.585202 166.205634 238.528190
2025-01-12 12.412508 25.051026 44.365868 74.054567 116.456888 172.748373 250.843641
2025-01-19 10.830693 22.980909 42.116472 72.186215 115.875018 174.652871 257.092046
2025-01-26 10.489765 22.976099 43.015734 74.939319 121.810694 185.382763 275.134637
2025-02-02 9.884230 22.449647 43.051445 76.375860 125.876308 193.615314 289.941929
2025-02-09 9.022413 21.378239 42.141879 76.317843 127.753635 198.847166 300.758598
2025-02-16 8.780332 21.426885 43.043281 79.047382 133.716956 209.788002 319.420497
2025-02-23 8.025010 20.428124 42.145603 78.924793 135.463803 214.867667 330.149694
2025-03-02 7.187689 19.179452 40.742097 77.925428 135.848804 218.004955 338.219715
2025-03-09 6.589465 18.347083 39.995489 77.925015 137.696888 223.202141 349.161515
2025-03-16 6.040477 17.556984 39.268965 77.910788 139.495676 228.327605 360.039615
2025-03-23 5.945782 17.734921 40.276779 80.768655 145.730128 239.886565 380.020680